Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
DFR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
MAI
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
CIP
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |