Alvarado vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALV
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
ALV
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DES
2 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
DES
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
MAI
2 - 1
DES
46%
29%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
SLO
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
DES
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |