Alvarado vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALV
51%
27%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 2
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 1
ALV
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 1
DFR
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CIP
2 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AGR
1 - 0
CIP
48%
28%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIP
0 - 1
SLP
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 0
CIP
58%
24%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
CIP
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |