Alvarado vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 3
RAO
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
CSE
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
ALV
2 - 0
MAI
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
CIP
2 - 2
RSA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 1
CIP
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
CIP
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CIP
2 - 1
JUU
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CIP
1 - 2
CAI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |