Alvarado vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
ALV
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALV
0 - 2
SMA
26%
30%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALV
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
ALV
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALB
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 1
ATL
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEP
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 0
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
STM
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |