Torneo Federal A Last 16
Global 1-1
Alvarado vs Atlético Mitre SdE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
ALV
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
ALV
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
DFR
33%
30%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
ALV
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Mitre SdE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
ALV
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
MIT
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 0
SJO
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |