Alvarado vs Argentino Agropecuario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 2
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 1
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |