Aluvión vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
64%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUS
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
2 - 2
LAG
26%
21%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
ALU
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 1
ALU
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 7
LAG
13%
19%
68%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 2
MEN
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
ERR
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 1
PEN
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
PEN
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
2 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |