Aluvión vs Mendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 1
PEN
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUS
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALU
2 - 2
LAG
26%
21%
52%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 1
ALU
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 1
ALU
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 0
LAG
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 2
MEN
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 5
CDL
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ERR
1 - 0
MEN
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 2
RIV
40%
23%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |