Aluvión vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ZIR
3 - 0
ALU
63%
20%
17%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CDU
4 - 1
ALU
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 4
ART
14%
20%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AOI
5 - 1
ALU
77%
15%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 1
BUR
15%
20%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 2
AOI
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
LAG
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 0
MUS
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FON
1 - 2
LOU
14%
21%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 2
BUR
43%
24%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |