Aluvión vs Lagunak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 2
IDO
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
OBE
2 - 1
ALU
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALU
2 - 3
ART
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 0
ALU
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 1
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lagunak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
7 - 0
MUS
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
IDO
0 - 4
LAG
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 1
OBE
34%
26%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ART
4 - 1
LAG
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 0
CDA
37%
25%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |