Aluvión vs Idoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
5 - 1
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDO
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 1
ALU
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
4 - 0
AZK
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IDO
0 - 1
GAR
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AOI
1 - 2
IDO
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IDO
0 - 3
CDC
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
IDO
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 2
IDO
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |