Aluvión vs Universidad de Navarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ART
2 - 1
ALU
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 1
AOI
28%
23%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 4
ALU
70%
16%
14%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALU
76%
16%
8%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 2
DNT
25%
21%
54%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Navarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 3
CDU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 4
PEN
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 1
CDU
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 3
LOU
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 0
MEN
25%
22%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |