Alumni Villa Maria vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 1
CAA
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 0
CEN
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SJO
2 - 1
CAA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
TFE
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 3
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
ATE
92%
7%
2%
|
64 | 17 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
GYT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 2
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 1
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 3
SJO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |