Alumni Villa Maria vs San Jorge Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TFE
1 - 1
CAA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
CAA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 1
GYT
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CAA
2 - 0
CDN
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
San Jorge Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
SJO
2 - 1
GYT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |