Alumni Villa Maria vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SJO
2 - 1
CAA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
TFE
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 3
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 0
CAA
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
GYT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 1
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TAL
4 - 3
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
8 - 0
SJO
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TFE
0 - 0
CEN
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |