Alumni Villa Maria vs Atlético San Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
CAA
72%
17%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAA
59%
23%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
ARG
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
CAA
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético San Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
RAC
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
ALI
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ATE
2 - 2
ATL
21%
22%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ALP
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |