Aluminium vs Gornik Polkowice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
TLO
2 - 1
ALU
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ALU
3 - 1
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LKS
1 - 0
ALU
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
ALU
0 - 2
GKS
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SWI
2 - 0
ALU
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gornik Polkowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
SLA
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ARK
0 - 1
POL
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
POL
4 - 1
PIO
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
HET
0 - 1
POL
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
POL
4 - 0
RUC
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |