Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
26.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
8º
39
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 2
AAK
36%
32%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AAK
1 - 0
EKU
55%
27%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
AAK
53%
28%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
FOO
2 - 2
AAK
45%
33%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
AAK
0 - 0
NAF
65%
24%
11%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MES
0 - 3
SAQ
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 2
SPF
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 1
SAQ
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 2
SAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 1
KFM
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |