Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan Esfahan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
8º
57
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
GOH
2 - 3
AAK
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AAK
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
SAN
57%
26%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
PAY
0 - 1
AAK
35%
32%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
FOO
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sepahan Esfahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 0
SPF
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MES
1 - 1
SEP
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 1
EKU
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
SEP
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |