Aluminium Arak vs Saba Qom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
AAK
2 - 3
FAJ
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
BAA
1 - 1
AAK
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
AAK
1 - 1
GOH
50%
27%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
NAS
0 - 1
AAK
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AAK
3 - 0
IRA
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saba Qom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
SAB
1 - 2
EKU
40%
29%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NAT
1 - 2
SAB
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SAB
0 - 1
SEP
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
SAB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SAB
3 - 0
TRA
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +7 |