Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
33.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
7º
26
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
AAK
52%
29%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
2 - 0
SMK
50%
29%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
AAK
47%
30%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 0
MAL
57%
27%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 0
AAK
57%
27%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nassaji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
2 - 1
FOO
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GOH
0 - 1
NAS
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
0 - 0
ZOB
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
4 - 0
NAF
62%
25%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
NAS
46%
30%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |