Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAK
36%
30%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
AAK
1 - 1
EKU
55%
27%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
AAK
3 - 0
SAQ
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
AAK
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MES
2 - 3
FOO
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
TRA
5 - 1
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
AKF
1 - 2
MES
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
MES
1 - 2
ZOB
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |