Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAB
1 - 4
AAK
59%
25%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OXI
2 - 0
AAK
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AAK
0 - 2
SMK
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
AAK
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AAK
2 - 1
SMF
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
RAY
32%
31%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 2
MES
57%
27%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
NAF
31%
30%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
IRA
2 - 1
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
MES
0 - 0
MAC
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |