Aluminium Arak vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
AAK
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AAK
2 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NAS
0 - 0
AAK
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
AAK
0 - 0
NAF
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MES
3 - 3
FOO
41%
30%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KKH
0 - 0
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
HOR
33%
30%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
GOH
0 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
SMK
1 - 0
MES
67%
22%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |