Aluminium Arak vs Mes Kerman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
21%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
7º
22
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
AAK
47%
30%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 0
MAL
57%
27%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 0
AAK
57%
27%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AAK
0 - 2
TRA
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MES
0 - 0
AAK
51%
28%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SMK
0 - 1
SPF
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOO
0 - 0
SMK
57%
28%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SMK
0 - 0
ZOB
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NAS
2 - 0
SMK
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SMK
2 - 2
GOH
24%
29%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |