Aluminium Arak vs Malavan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
8º
41
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
AAK
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
AAK
0 - 0
GOH
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
AAK
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AAK
1 - 1
PAY
51%
28%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FOO
1 - 0
AAK
41%
32%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
TRA
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MES
1 - 4
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 2
SAQ
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 1
MAL
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
EKU
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |