Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
AAK
44%
30%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
AAK
0 - 0
GOH
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
AAK
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
AAK
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
AAK
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GOH
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
SMK
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FOO
0 - 2
EST
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 2
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
PAK
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |