Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
AAK
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
AAK
0 - 0
GOH
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AAK
2 - 0
FAJ
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
NAS
1 - 1
AAK
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
AAK
1 - 0
FAJ
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
FOO
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 3
EST
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
NUF
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
SEP
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 3
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |