Aluminij vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 5
ALU
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
ALU
5 - 2
MNK
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SLJ
1 - 1
ALU
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 3
NKI
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
RUD
4 - 0
ALU
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
SMA
1 - 1
MNK
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
NKI
4 - 0
SMA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SMA
1 - 4
KRS
38%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -3 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
IVA
3 - 0
SMA
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SMA
0 - 2
NKN
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |