Aluminij vs ND Slovan Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
2º
14
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
ALU
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
NKH
0 - 4
ALU
9%
14%
78%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
DEK
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
KRK
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ND Slovan Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
0 - 2
BIS
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NSV
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
NSV
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEK
2 - 1
NSV
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |