Aluminij vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALU
5 - 1
NKI
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
ALU
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 1
ALU
15%
23%
63%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 0
RAD
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALU
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
SEN
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NKD
2 - 4
TOL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
BEL
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NKI
0 - 1
TOL
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KRS
0 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |