Aluminij vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
2 - 0
NKD
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALU
23%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NKI
1 - 3
ALU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALU
2 - 1
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
RAD
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KRS
3 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
NKD
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |