Aluminij vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 3
ALU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 3
SMA
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 1
ALU
30%
25%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NKD
0 - 2
ALU
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 0
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
BEL
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KRS
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
NKI
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NKD
1 - 4
TOL
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 2
NKD
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |