Aluminij vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
43
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 4
OLI
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
ALU
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 2
FCK
22%
25%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 0
ALU
71%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 4
CEL
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 0
RAD
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
NSM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 0
BIS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
NSM
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |