Aluminij vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
GOR
2 - 0
ALU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALU
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALU
3 - 5
RUD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 1
ALU
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
GOR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
3 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |