Aluminij vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 1
ROG
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
ALU
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 0
NSM
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RAD
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCK
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RAD
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |