Aluminij vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
6 - 0
ALU
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 1
DOM
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 2
ALU
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
NSM
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 4
RAD
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRA
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAS
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 4
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |