Aluminij vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 0
DOM
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
ALU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
NSM
2 - 0
ALU
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 1
FCK
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
GOR
0 - 0
ALU
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 2
FCK
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GOR
1 - 1
MAR
11%
19%
71%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TAS
0 - 4
MAR
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |