Aluminij vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALU
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FCK
3 - 1
ALU
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 2
ALU
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ALU
1 - 1
FCK
42%
25%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOR
2 - 0
ALU
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
NSM
2 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCK
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
RUD
0 - 3
MAR
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GOR
0 - 4
MAR
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |