Aluminij vs NK Krka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
8º
2º
7
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 40 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 37 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 36 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
24% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 0
ALU
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 2
TAS
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 3
ALU
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 0
NKD
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
0 - 3
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 5
KRK
54%
21%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEK
1 - 3
KRK
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 2
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 1
NSV
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |