Aluminij vs Ivančna Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
ALU
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALU
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
NKS
1 - 1
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ivančna Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KRS
0 - 3
IVA
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IVA
0 - 3
TOL
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
IVA
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
IVA
1 - 2
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
IVA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |