Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Aluminij vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 1
ALU
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 1
NKV
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALU
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
NKD
45%
24%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUD
2 - 1
GOR
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GOR
4 - 0
ZAV
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GOR
1 - 2
KRK
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 1
TRI
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |