Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Aluminij vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
ALU
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALU
3 - 0
RUD
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 0
ALU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 0
TRI
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
ALU
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
ALU
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 1
OLI
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 1
GOR
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
GOR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |