Aluminij vs Šencur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NKV
0 - 3
ALU
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
NKD
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 2
ALU
22%
27%
52%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALU
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
TOL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AHM
0 - 0
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 3
NKV
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -3 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NKD
1 - 0
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 3
SEN
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 1
TRI
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |