Aluminij vs Šencur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NKD
0 - 0
ALU
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALU
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 2
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
NKI
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
RAD
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KRS
1 - 1
SEN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 2
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
MUR
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |