Aluminij vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
48
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 0
ALU
71%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 4
CEL
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 0
MAK
53%
23%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 3
SAR
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 3
RUD
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
FCK
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 0
FCK
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |