Aluminij vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 1
FCM
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
ALI
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VOJ
1 - 1
ALU
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
KTE
34%
24%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
ALU
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
MTK
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
BAC
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
SLA
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
MAK
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |