Aluminij vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALU
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
ALU
1 - 4
MAR
21%
23%
57%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 1
ALU
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
ALU
2 - 5
DOM
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALU
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 2
MFK
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DZG
3 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
3 - 0
NKD
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |