Aluminij vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
ALU
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GOR
2 - 0
ALU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALU
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALU
3 - 5
RUD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 2
OLI
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALU
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 3
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |